Krasnodar 0-2 Zenit St. Petersburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 21 Sep 2025

📅21/09/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.38
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
32%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.82
Over 2.5
44%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.7
No
53%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.24
2-3 Goals
42%
1.79
4-5 Goals
18%
3.63
6+ Goals
9%
14.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.24 — our 31% vs market 25.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.53
1/2
7%
29.0
1/X
6%
12.55
X/1
17%
5.45
X/2
9%
5.92
X/X
15%
4.45
2/1
8%
27.5
2/2
16%
4.02
2/X
5%
12.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
38%
+3.7pp
26%
Draw
28%
-1.9pp
32%
Away Win
34%
-1.6pp
56%
Under 2.5
51%
+4.8pp
44%
Over 2.5
49%
-4.8pp
47%
BTTS Yes
55%
-7.8pp
53%
BTTS No
45%
+7.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Krasnodar EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Zenit St. Petersburg EU Bookmakers 37%
+7% / +27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -1%
1.62/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/1.13
+15% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / -1%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
310 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 75%
25.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.1
14.5 Crosses 14.4
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Krasnodar
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Zenit St. Petersburg
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.18 xG 1.11
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
318 Passes 375
80% Pass Accuracy 82%
16 Box Touches 25
11 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
13.04.2025 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg 4-1 HT 2-1 Krasnodar Krasnodar RUS
28.09.2024 Krasnodar Krasnodar 2-0 HT 0-0 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg RUS
13.07.2024 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg 4-2 HT 3-0 Krasnodar Krasnodar Rusya - Süper Kupa
13.04.2024 Krasnodar Krasnodar 1-2 HT 1-0 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg RUS
11.11.2023 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg 1-1 HT 0-0 Krasnodar Krasnodar RUS
13.05.2023 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg 2-2 HT 1-0 Krasnodar Krasnodar RUS
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Krasnodar
0-2
AWAY Zenit St. Petersburg
1.77 xG 0.87
53% Ball Possession 47%
18 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
261 Passes 217
79% Pass Accuracy 74%
34 Box Touches 25
11 Crosses 18
5 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Krasnodar vs Zenit St. Petersburg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zenit St. Petersburg saw off Krasnodar 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Krasnodar at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Krasnodar had 53% of the ball to Zenit St. Petersburg's 47%, shots finished 18-7, expected goals 1.77 to 0.87 — on chances, Krasnodar could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Zenit St. Petersburg led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Krasnodar and 2.17 for Zenit St. Petersburg.

What was the final score of Krasnodar vs Zenit St. Petersburg?

Krasnodar 0-2 Zenit St. Petersburg in the Russia - Premier League on 21/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Krasnodar vs Zenit St. Petersburg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Krasnodar win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Krasnodar 42%, draw 26%, Zenit St. Petersburg 32%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Krasnodar) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Krasnodar) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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