Baltika Kaliningrad 0-0 Rostov — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 21 Sep 2025

📅21/09/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.12
Draw
23%
3.11
Away
30%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.67
Over 2.5
49%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.88
No
48%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.71
2-3 Goals
35%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
4.33
6+ Goals
12%
21.95
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
3.08
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
8%
13.25
X/1
20%
4.75
X/2
10%
6.59
X/X
7%
4.08
2/1
5%
28.5
2/2
15%
5.11
2/X
7%
13.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
43%
+3.3pp
23%
Draw
29%
-5.5pp
30%
Away Win
28%
+2.2pp
51%
Under 2.5
56%
-5.1pp
49%
Over 2.5
44%
+5.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
49%
+3.2pp
48%
BTTS No
51%
-3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Baltika Kaliningrad EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Rostov EU Bookmakers 32%
+16% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -9%
1.44/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.28
+10% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -5%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
305 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 74%
23.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.3
17.5 Crosses 18.4
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Baltika Kaliningrad
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Rostov
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.74 xG 1.37
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 8
6 Corners 8
222 Passes 274
64% Pass Accuracy 69%
17 Box Touches 26
14 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 2
19.05.2024 Rostov Rostov 2-1 HT 2-1 Baltika Kaliningrad Baltika Kaliningrad RUS
02.05.2024 Rostov Rostov 0-1 HT 0-1 Baltika Kaliningrad Baltika Kaliningrad RUSK
16.09.2023 Baltika Kaliningrad Baltika Kaliningrad 2-2 HT 0-2 Rostov Rostov RUS
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Baltika Kaliningrad
0-0
AWAY Rostov
0.43 xG 0.72
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 3
189 Passes 161
65% Pass Accuracy 57%
9 Box Touches 18
9 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Baltika Kaliningrad vs Rostov
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Baltika Kaliningrad and Rostov played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Baltika Kaliningrad at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Baltika Kaliningrad had 51% of the ball to Rostov's 49%, shots finished 9-9, expected goals 0.43 to 0.72.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Baltika Kaliningrad and 1.33 for Rostov.

What was the final score of Baltika Kaliningrad vs Rostov?

Baltika Kaliningrad 0-0 Rostov in the Russia - Premier League on 21/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Baltika Kaliningrad vs Rostov?

Before kick-off our model rated a Baltika Kaliningrad win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Baltika Kaliningrad 47%, draw 23%, Rostov 30%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Baltika Kaliningrad), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Baltika Kaliningrad) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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