Spartak Moskova vs Krylya Sovetov Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Spartak Moskova v Krylya Sovetov — Team-Based Signals
Spartak Moskova vs Krylya Sovetov Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-0
HT 2-0
Krylya Sovetov
RUS
Spartak Moskova 2-1 Krylya Sovetov — Actual Match Statistics
Spartak Moskova edged past Krylya Sovetov 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
As we said in the preview, our model had Spartak Moskova as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.
On the day, Spartak Moskova had 71% of the ball to Krylya Sovetov's 29%, shots finished 25-9, expected goals 1.59 to 0.45.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Spartak Moskova had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.83 goals for Spartak Moskova and 0.50 for Krylya Sovetov.
What was the final score of Spartak Moskova vs Krylya Sovetov?
Spartak Moskova 2-1 Krylya Sovetov in the Russia - Premier League on 21/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Spartak Moskova vs Krylya Sovetov?
Before kick-off our model rated a Spartak Moskova win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Spartak Moskova 63%, draw 19%, Krylya Sovetov 18%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Spartak Moskova), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.