Nafta 5-2 Mura — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 1st Division, 1 Aug 2026

Nafta
5-2 HT 2-1
Mura
📅01/08/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.47
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
45%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.8
Over 2.5
49%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.7
No
52%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.0
2-3 Goals
42%
1.71
4-5 Goals
23%
3.47
6+ Goals
10%
14.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
14%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
24%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
37%
-6.2pp
25%
Draw
28%
-2.9pp
45%
Away Win
36%
+9.2pp
51%
Under 2.5
52%
-0.5pp
49%
Over 2.5
48%
+0.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
55%
-6.5pp
52%
BTTS No
45%
+6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nafta EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Mura EU Bookmakers 39%
+31% / +31% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -23%
2.24/1.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/1.52
+70% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / -18%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
348 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nafta
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Mura
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
03.12.2025 Mura Mura 1-2 HT 1-1 Nafta Nafta SLVNK
05.04.2025 Nafta Nafta 4-2 HT 1-1 Mura Mura SLVN
02.02.2025 Mura Mura 0-0 HT 0-0 Nafta Nafta SLVN
28.09.2024 Nafta Nafta 0-0 HT 0-0 Mura Mura SLVN
20.07.2024 Mura Mura 1-0 HT 0-0 Nafta Nafta SLVN
24.06.2020 Nafta Nafta 0-2 HT 0-0 Mura Mura SLVNK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nafta
5-2
AWAY Mura
8 Total Shots 18
7 Shots on Target 9
0 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Nafta vs Mura
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nafta ran out comfortable winners over Mura 5-2. Half-time: 2-1. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Mura at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, shots finished 8-18.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Nafta and 1.00 for Mura.

What was the final score of Nafta vs Mura?

Nafta 5-2 Mura in the Slovenia - 1st Division on 01/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nafta vs Mura?

Before kick-off our model rated an Mura win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Nafta 30%, draw 25%, Mura 45%. The final score 5-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Mura) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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