Österlen 4-1 Karlshamn — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 1 Sep 2024

📅01/09/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.75
Draw
30%
4.08
Away
30%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
28%
2.96
Over 2.5
72%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
66%
1.39
No
34%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
15%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
34%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
12%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
53%
-13.1pp
30%
Draw
21%
+9.0pp
30%
Away Win
26%
+4.0pp
28%
Under 2.5
30%
-1.9pp
72%
Over 2.5
70%
+1.9pp
66%
BTTS Yes
68%
-1.4pp
34%
BTTS No
32%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Österlen EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Karlshamn EU Bookmakers 29%
+4% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +22% / +25%
1.71/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.68/1.39
-19% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / +39%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
368 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Österlen
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Karlshamn
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
04.05.2024 Karlshamn 1-2 HT 0-2 Österlen Österlen İSÇ4
06.09.2020 Österlen Österlen 3-1 HT 1-0 Karlshamn İSÇ4
POST-MATCH Österlen vs Karlshamn
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Österlen ran out comfortable winners over Karlshamn 4-1. Half-time: 3-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 30% / 30% — and on the day Österlen made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (72%), both teams to score (66%) came in.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Österlen had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Österlen and 1.00 for Karlshamn.

What was the final score of Österlen vs Karlshamn?

Österlen 4-1 Karlshamn in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 01/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Österlen vs Karlshamn?

Before kick-off our model rated a Österlen win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Österlen 40%, draw 30%, Karlshamn 30%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Österlen), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Österlen) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İSÇ4 More Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland
1 Sep 2024
13:00 Qviding FIF vs Bergdalens Analysis →
14:00 Vastra Frolunda IF vs IK Tord Analysis →
14:00 Jarfalla vs IFK Österaker Analysis →
14:00 FK Karlskrona vs Simrishamn Analysis →
15:00 Hudiksvalls FF vs Enköpings SK Analysis →
15:00 Säffle SK vs IK Gauthiod Analysis →