Vastra Frolunda IF 3-3 IK Tord — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 1 Sep 2024

📅01/09/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.92
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
30%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.29
Over 2.5
60%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.5
No
41%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
13%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
48%
-3.3pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.2pp
30%
Away Win
28%
+2.1pp
40%
Under 2.5
40%
+0.3pp
60%
Over 2.5
60%
-0.3pp
59%
BTTS Yes
62%
-3.3pp
41%
BTTS No
38%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vastra Frolunda IF EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY IK Tord EU Bookmakers 32%
+5% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -14%
1.75/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.17/2.43
-10% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +44% / -25%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
245 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 362 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 3.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vastra Frolunda IF
3W-1D-1L
AWAY IK Tord
1.80 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
04.05.2024 IK Tord IK Tord 2-0 Vastra Frolunda IF Vastra Frolunda IF İSÇ4
01.10.2023 IK Tord IK Tord 1-3 HT 1-1 Vastra Frolunda IF Vastra Frolunda IF İSÇ4
27.05.2023 Vastra Frolunda IF Vastra Frolunda IF 3-1 HT 2-0 IK Tord IK Tord İSÇ4
25.09.2021 Vastra Frolunda IF Vastra Frolunda IF 2-0 HT 2-0 IK Tord IK Tord İSÇ4
27.06.2021 IK Tord IK Tord 1-1 HT 0-0 Vastra Frolunda IF Vastra Frolunda IF İSÇ4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vastra Frolunda IF
3-3
AWAY IK Tord
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Vastra Frolunda IF vs IK Tord
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vastra Frolunda IF and IK Tord couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. Half-time: 1-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Vastra Frolunda IF at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (59%) came in.

On the day, Vastra Frolunda IF had 45% of the ball to IK Tord's 55%, shots finished 11-12.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Vastra Frolunda IF had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.80 goals for Vastra Frolunda IF and 1.00 for IK Tord.

What was the final score of Vastra Frolunda IF vs IK Tord?

Vastra Frolunda IF 3-3 IK Tord in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 01/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vastra Frolunda IF vs IK Tord?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vastra Frolunda IF win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Vastra Frolunda IF 45%, draw 25%, IK Tord 30%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Vastra Frolunda IF) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Vastra Frolunda IF) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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