FK Karlskrona 4-2 Simrishamn — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 1 Sep 2024

📅01/09/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.42
Draw
20%
4.62
Away
22%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.96
Over 2.5
50%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.53
No
52%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
20%
X/2
7%
X/X
7%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
66%
-8.5pp
20%
Draw
18%
+2.0pp
22%
Away Win
16%
+6.4pp
50%
Under 2.5
30%
+20.3pp
50%
Over 2.5
70%
-20.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
61%
-12.8pp
52%
BTTS No
39%
+12.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FK Karlskrona EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Simrishamn EU Bookmakers 19%
+6% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
2.50/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/1.87
+10% / +31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / +17%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
331 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FK Karlskrona
1W-2D-0L
AWAY Simrishamn
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
04.05.2024 Simrishamn Simrishamn 1-1 HT 1-1 FK Karlskrona FK Karlskrona İSÇ4
22.10.2023 Simrishamn Simrishamn 1-2 HT 1-1 FK Karlskrona FK Karlskrona İSÇ4
10.06.2023 FK Karlskrona FK Karlskrona 3-3 HT 2-0 Simrishamn Simrishamn İSÇ4
POST-MATCH FK Karlskrona vs Simrishamn
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FK Karlskrona got the better of Simrishamn 4-2. Half-time: 3-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had FK Karlskrona as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, FK Karlskrona had the better of it with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for FK Karlskrona and 1.67 for Simrishamn.

What was the final score of FK Karlskrona vs Simrishamn?

FK Karlskrona 4-2 Simrishamn in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 01/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FK Karlskrona vs Simrishamn?

Before kick-off our model rated a FK Karlskrona win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split FK Karlskrona 57%, draw 20%, Simrishamn 22%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FK Karlskrona) — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (FK Karlskrona) ✗ BTTS No
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