Jarfalla 1-2 IFK Österaker — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 1 Sep 2024

📅01/09/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.89
Draw
22%
3.64
Away
35%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.03
Over 2.5
52%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.66
No
46%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
17%
X/X
8%
2/1
9%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
49%
-6.8pp
22%
Draw
24%
-2.1pp
35%
Away Win
26%
+8.9pp
48%
Under 2.5
45%
+2.8pp
52%
Over 2.5
55%
-2.8pp
54%
BTTS Yes
56%
-2.6pp
46%
BTTS No
44%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jarfalla EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY IFK Österaker EU Bookmakers 29%
-2% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +14%
2.37/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.48/1.74
+22% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +11%
48% Ball Possession 52%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
341 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jarfalla
4W-0D-2L
AWAY IFK Österaker
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
04.05.2024 IFK Österaker IFK Österaker 0-2 HT 0-1 Jarfalla Jarfalla İSÇ4
20.08.2023 Jarfalla Jarfalla 5-1 HT 2-1 IFK Österaker IFK Österaker İSÇ4
23.04.2023 IFK Österaker IFK Österaker 4-0 HT 2-0 Jarfalla Jarfalla İSÇ4
02.10.2022 Jarfalla Jarfalla 2-1 HT 2-0 IFK Österaker IFK Österaker İSÇ4
09.10.2021 IFK Österaker IFK Österaker 3-2 HT 0-1 Jarfalla Jarfalla İSÇ4
05.06.2021 Jarfalla Jarfalla 3-2 HT 0-0 IFK Österaker IFK Österaker İSÇ4
POST-MATCH Jarfalla vs IFK Österaker
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

IFK Österaker nicked a narrow win over Jarfalla 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Jarfalla at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Jarfalla had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Jarfalla and 1.83 for IFK Österaker.

What was the final score of Jarfalla vs IFK Österaker?

Jarfalla 1-2 IFK Österaker in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 01/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jarfalla vs IFK Österaker?

Before kick-off our model rated a Jarfalla win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Jarfalla 43%, draw 22%, IFK Österaker 35%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Jarfalla) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Jarfalla) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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