Mjölby 1-1 Smedby AIS — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 1 Sep 2024

Mjölby
1-1 HT 0-1
Smedby AIS
📅01/09/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland – 2024

Mjölby vs Smedby AIS Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.57
Draw
29%
3.54
Away
35%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
34%
2.29
Over 2.5
66%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
65%
No
35%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
38%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
12%
1/X
12%
X/1
9%
X/2
10%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
35%
+1.1pp
29%
Draw
25%
+4.8pp
35%
Away Win
40%
-5.9pp
34%
Under 2.5
40%
-6.0pp
66%
Over 2.5
60%
+6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Mjölby v Smedby AIS — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mjölby EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Smedby AIS EU Bookmakers 45%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
0.80/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.47/0.61
-53% / +50% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +108% / +150%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
315 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 346 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Mjölby vs Smedby AIS Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mjölby
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Smedby AIS
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
The Meetings
06.08.2023 Mjölby Mjölby 2-1 HT 1-0 Smedby AIS Smedby AIS İSÇ4
31.03.2023 Smedby AIS Smedby AIS 0-0 HT 0-0 Mjölby Mjölby İSÇ4
POST-MATCH Mjölby vs Smedby AIS
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mjölby and Smedby AIS couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 29% / 35% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, both teams to score (65%) landed while over 2.5 goals (66%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Mjölby had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Mjölby and 0.50 for Smedby AIS.

What was the final score of Mjölby vs Smedby AIS?

Mjölby 1-1 Smedby AIS in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 01/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mjölby vs Smedby AIS?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mjölby win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Mjölby 36%, draw 29%, Smedby AIS 35%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Mjölby), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Mjölby) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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