Angers 1-4 Nice — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 1, 1 Sep 2024

Angers
1-4 HT 0-2
Nice
📅01/09/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
France - Ligue 1 – 2024/2025

Angers vs Nice Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.75
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
44%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.6
Over 2.5
49%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
2.03
No
48%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.53
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals EV+ ✓
25%
4.68
6+ Goals
8%
25.5
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 4.68 — our 25% vs market 16.2%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
6.61
1/2
7%
28.5
1/X
9%
15.25
X/1
8%
7.88
X/2
14%
4.08
X/X
10%
4.0
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
23%
2.63
2/X EV+ ✗
10%
14.5
Value flag · 2/X at 14.5 — our 10% vs market 4.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
23%
+4.0pp
29%
Draw
28%
+0.7pp
44%
Away Win
49%
-4.7pp
51%
Under 2.5
59%
-7.8pp
49%
Over 2.5
41%
+7.8pp
52%
BTTS Yes
45%
+7.1pp
48%
BTTS No
55%
-7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Angers v Nice — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Angers EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Nice EU Bookmakers 53%
-8% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -14%
1.19/1.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.52/0.92
-4% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -36% / +2%
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
272 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 400 · 81%
19.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.1
17.7 Crosses 20.0
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.9

Angers vs Nice Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Angers
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Nice
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.04 xG 1.14
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
327 Passes 390
82% Pass Accuracy 86%
14 Box Touches 19
14 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
02.04.2023 Angers Angers 1-1 HT 1-1 Nice Nice FR1
18.09.2022 Nice Nice 0-1 HT 0-1 Angers Angers FR1
20.02.2022 Nice Nice 1-0 HT 1-0 Angers Angers FR1
31.10.2021 Angers Angers 1-2 HT 1-0 Nice Nice FR1
07.02.2021 Nice Nice 3-0 HT 2-0 Angers Angers FR1
01.11.2020 Angers Angers 0-3 HT 0-2 Nice Nice FR1

Angers 1-4 Nice — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Angers
1-4
AWAY Nice
1.42 xG 2.35
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 9
4 Corners 7
390 Passes 315
86% Pass Accuracy 83%
27 Box Touches 24
18 Crosses 14
6 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Angers vs Nice
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nice ran out comfortable winners over Angers 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Nice as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Angers had 54% of the ball to Nice's 46%, shots finished 14-14, expected goals 1.42 to 2.35.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nice led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Angers and 1.67 for Nice.

What was the final score of Angers vs Nice?

Angers 1-4 Nice in the France - Ligue 1 on 01/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Angers vs Nice?

Before kick-off our model rated an Nice win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Angers 27%, draw 29%, Nice 44%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nice), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Nice) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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