Reims 2-1 Rennes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 1, 1 Sep 2024

Reims
2-1 HT 1-1
Rennes
📅01/09/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
France - Ligue 1 – 2024/2025

Reims vs Rennes Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.84
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
41%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.95
Over 2.5
50%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.66
No
49%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
3.55
2-3 Goals
42%
1.8
4-5 Goals
23%
3.38
6+ Goals
10%
12.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.55 — our 25% vs market 22.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
4.48
1/2
7%
25.5
1/X
7%
13.1
X/1
9%
6.47
X/2
12%
4.93
X/X
10%
4.77
2/1
6%
31.5
2/2
22%
3.06
2/X
9%
12.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
32%
+1.4pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.0pp
41%
Away Win
42%
-1.5pp
50%
Under 2.5
48%
+2.1pp
50%
Over 2.5
52%
-2.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-5.2pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Reims v Rennes — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Reims EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Rennes EU Bookmakers 46%
+4% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -14%
0.97/1.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.45/1.19
-14% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -18%
42% Ball Possession 58%
13 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
286 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 434 · 82%
17.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.8
17.0 Crosses 19.4
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.1

Reims vs Rennes Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Reims
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Rennes
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.32 xG 1.69
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
282 Passes 419
76% Pass Accuracy 82%
19 Box Touches 26
17 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
19.05.2024 Reims Reims 2-1 HT 0-0 Rennes Rennes FR1
26.11.2023 Rennes Rennes 3-1 HT 1-1 Reims Reims FR1
15.04.2023 Rennes Rennes 3-0 HT 2-0 Reims Reims FR1
29.12.2022 Reims Reims 3-1 HT 2-1 Rennes Rennes FR1
09.04.2022 Reims Reims 2-3 HT 0-2 Rennes Rennes FR1
12.09.2021 Rennes Rennes 0-2 HT 0-1 Reims Reims FR1

Reims 2-1 Rennes — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Reims
2-1
AWAY Rennes
1.39 xG 0.79
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
330 Passes 281
83% Pass Accuracy 80%
14 Box Touches 24
15 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Reims vs Rennes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Reims edged past Rennes 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Rennes at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Reims had 53% of the ball to Rennes's 47%, shots finished 11-13, expected goals 1.39 to 0.79.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Reims and 1.83 for Rennes.

What was the final score of Reims vs Rennes?

Reims 2-1 Rennes in the France - Ligue 1 on 01/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Reims vs Rennes?

Before kick-off our model rated an Rennes win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Reims 33%, draw 26%, Rennes 41%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Rennes) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Rennes) ✓ BTTS Yes
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