Zalgiris Vilnius 2-1 Banga Gargzdai — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 1 Sep 2024

📅01/09/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.32
Draw
22%
4.81
Away
16%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.29
Over 2.5
58%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.95
No
49%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
5%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
71%
-9.4pp
22%
Draw
18%
+4.4pp
16%
Away Win
11%
+5.0pp
42%
Under 2.5
40%
+2.7pp
58%
Over 2.5
60%
-2.7pp
51%
BTTS Yes
47%
+3.9pp
49%
BTTS No
53%
-3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zalgiris Vilnius EU Bookmakers 76%
Head to Head
AWAY Banga Gargzdai EU Bookmakers 14%
+5% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
2.18/0.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.18/2.10
+0% / +34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -57% / +5%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
355 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 250 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zalgiris Vilnius
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Banga Gargzdai
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
63% Ball Possession 37%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.06.2024 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai 0-2 HT 0-0 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius LIT1
01.05.2024 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius 2-2 HT 1-0 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai LIT1
13.03.2024 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai 1-4 HT 1-2 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius LIT1
24.01.2024 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius 5-0 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai HAZ
03.09.2023 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius 1-0 HT 1-0 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai LIT1
02.07.2023 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai 1-4 HT 0-1 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius LITA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zalgiris Vilnius
2-1
AWAY Banga Gargzdai
67% Ball Possession 33%
16 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Zalgiris Vilnius vs Banga Gargzdai
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zalgiris Vilnius squeezed past Banga Gargzdai 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Zalgiris Vilnius as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

On the day, Zalgiris Vilnius had 67% of the ball to Banga Gargzdai's 33%, shots finished 16-14.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Zalgiris Vilnius had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Zalgiris Vilnius and 0.67 for Banga Gargzdai.

What was the final score of Zalgiris Vilnius vs Banga Gargzdai?

Zalgiris Vilnius 2-1 Banga Gargzdai in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 01/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zalgiris Vilnius vs Banga Gargzdai?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zalgiris Vilnius win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Zalgiris Vilnius 62%, draw 22%, Banga Gargzdai 16%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zalgiris Vilnius), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Zalgiris Vilnius) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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