Juticalpa 0-2 Lobos UPNFM — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Honduras - National League Apertura, 1 Sep 2025

📅01/09/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
2.12
Draw
18%
3.28
Away
33%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
1.9
Over 2.5
59%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.68
No
46%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
7%
X/X
7%
2/1
12%
2/2
19%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
43%
+5.8pp
18%
Draw
27%
-8.9pp
33%
Away Win
30%
+3.0pp
41%
Under 2.5
49%
-7.4pp
59%
Over 2.5
51%
+7.4pp
54%
BTTS Yes
56%
-1.8pp
46%
BTTS No
44%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Juticalpa EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Lobos UPNFM EU Bookmakers 33%
+31% / +31% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -34%
1.51/0.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/2.32
+9% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / -50%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
395 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 246 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Juticalpa
2W-0D-2L
AWAY Lobos UPNFM
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
30.03.2025 Lobos UPNFM Lobos UPNFM 1-0 HT 0-0 Juticalpa Juticalpa HON
30.01.2025 Juticalpa Juticalpa 1-0 HT 1-0 Lobos UPNFM Lobos UPNFM HON
07.11.2024 Juticalpa Juticalpa 3-0 HT 2-0 Lobos UPNFM Lobos UPNFM HON
01.09.2024 Lobos UPNFM Lobos UPNFM 4-1 HT 2-1 Juticalpa Juticalpa HON
POST-MATCH Juticalpa vs Lobos UPNFM
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lobos UPNFM beat Juticalpa 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Juticalpa at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Juticalpa and 1.25 for Lobos UPNFM.

What was the final score of Juticalpa vs Lobos UPNFM?

Juticalpa 0-2 Lobos UPNFM in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 01/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Juticalpa vs Lobos UPNFM?

Before kick-off our model rated a Juticalpa win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Juticalpa 49%, draw 18%, Lobos UPNFM 33%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Juticalpa) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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