Motagua 3-2 Real Espana — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Honduras - National League Apertura, 1 Sep 2025

📅01/09/2025 · 🕒04:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.33
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
34%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.21
Over 2.5
50%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.5
No
46%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
8%
X/X
16%
2/1
9%
2/2
19%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
39%
-1.9pp
29%
Draw
26%
+2.8pp
34%
Away Win
34%
-0.9pp
50%
Under 2.5
41%
+8.7pp
50%
Over 2.5
59%
-8.7pp
54%
BTTS Yes
62%
-8.3pp
46%
BTTS No
38%
+8.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Motagua EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Espana EU Bookmakers 38%
-1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +1%
1.47/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.49/0.96
+8% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +33% / +9%
53% Ball Possession 47%
17 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 4
331 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Motagua
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Real Espana
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
18.05.2025 Real Espana Real Espana 2-0 HT 1-0 Motagua Motagua HON
15.05.2025 Motagua Motagua 1-0 HT 1-0 Real Espana Real Espana HON
27.04.2025 Motagua Motagua 1-1 HT 0-0 Real Espana Real Espana HON
23.02.2025 Real Espana Real Espana 2-0 HT 1-0 Motagua Motagua HON
16.12.2024 Motagua Motagua 1-0 HT 1-0 Real Espana Real Espana HON
13.12.2024 Real Espana Real Espana 0-2 HT 0-0 Motagua Motagua HON
POST-MATCH Motagua vs Real Espana
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Motagua edged past Real Espana 3-2. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 29% / 34% — and on the day Motagua made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Motagua had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Motagua and 0.83 for Real Espana.

What was the final score of Motagua vs Real Espana?

Motagua 3-2 Real Espana in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 01/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Motagua vs Real Espana?

Before kick-off our model rated a Motagua win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Motagua 37%, draw 29%, Real Espana 34%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Motagua), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Motagua) ✓ BTTS Yes
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