Real Espana 0-2 Motagua — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Honduras - National League Apertura, 13 Dec 2024

📅13/12/2024 · 🕒04:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.53
Draw
36%
2.88
Away
32%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.51
Over 2.5
45%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.03
No
53%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
9%
X/X
22%
2/1
6%
2/2
18%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
36%
-4.2pp
36%
Draw
31%
+4.8pp
32%
Away Win
33%
-0.6pp
55%
Under 2.5
62%
-7.4pp
45%
Over 2.5
38%
+7.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
45%
+1.9pp
53%
BTTS No
55%
-1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Espana EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Motagua EU Bookmakers 37%
+11% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -2%
1.73/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.05
+32% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +7%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
233 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 346 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.3 Yellow Cards 4.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Espana
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Motagua
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
07.10.2024 Motagua Motagua 0-4 HT 0-2 Real Espana Real Espana HON
04.08.2024 Real Espana Real Espana 1-0 HT 1-0 Motagua Motagua HON
11.04.2024 Motagua Motagua 1-1 HT 1-1 Real Espana Real Espana HON
28.01.2024 Real Espana Real Espana 3-1 HT 2-1 Motagua Motagua HON
29.10.2023 Motagua Motagua 4-1 HT 2-0 Real Espana Real Espana HON
04.09.2023 Real Espana Real Espana 3-3 HT 1-2 Motagua Motagua HON
POST-MATCH Real Espana vs Motagua
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Motagua saw off Real Espana 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 36% / 32% — and on the day Motagua made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Real Espana had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Real Espana and 1.50 for Motagua.

What was the final score of Real Espana vs Motagua?

Real Espana 0-2 Motagua in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 13/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Espana vs Motagua?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Real Espana 32%, draw 36%, Motagua 32%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Draw) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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