Real Espana 2-0 Motagua — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Honduras - National League Apertura, 18 May 2025

📅18/05/2025 · 🕒02:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.25
Draw
30%
2.77
Away
40%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.59
Over 2.5
42%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.9
No
54%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
11%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
18%
X/X
17%
2/1
3%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
41%
-11.3pp
30%
Draw
33%
-2.4pp
40%
Away Win
26%
+13.7pp
58%
Under 2.5
59%
-0.6pp
42%
Over 2.5
41%
+0.6pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.4pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Espana EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Motagua EU Bookmakers 29%
-7% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +4%
1.39/1.46 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.15
+6% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +16%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
303 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 480 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Espana
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Motagua
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
15.05.2025 Motagua Motagua 1-0 HT 1-0 Real Espana Real Espana HON
27.04.2025 Motagua Motagua 1-1 HT 0-0 Real Espana Real Espana HON
23.02.2025 Real Espana Real Espana 2-0 HT 1-0 Motagua Motagua HON
16.12.2024 Motagua Motagua 1-0 HT 1-0 Real Espana Real Espana HON
13.12.2024 Real Espana Real Espana 0-2 HT 0-0 Motagua Motagua HON
07.10.2024 Motagua Motagua 0-4 HT 0-2 Real Espana Real Espana HON
POST-MATCH Real Espana vs Motagua
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Espana beat Motagua 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 30% / 30% / 40% — and on the day Real Espana made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Motagua led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Real Espana and 0.83 for Motagua.

What was the final score of Real Espana vs Motagua?

Real Espana 2-0 Motagua in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 18/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Espana vs Motagua?

Before kick-off our model rated an Motagua win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Real Espana 30%, draw 30%, Motagua 40%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Motagua) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Motagua) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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