CD Olimpia 2-1 CD Victoria — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Honduras - National League Apertura, 18 May 2025

📅18/05/2025 · 🕒04:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.42
Draw
27%
4.19
Away
24%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.95
Over 2.5
43%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.19
No
57%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
67%
-17.9pp
27%
Draw
21%
+5.7pp
25%
Away Win
12%
+12.1pp
57%
Under 2.5
48%
+9.6pp
43%
Over 2.5
52%
-9.6pp
43%
BTTS Yes
42%
+1.1pp
57%
BTTS No
58%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CD Olimpia EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY CD Victoria EU Bookmakers 15%
+0% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +15%
2.22/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.88
+15% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / +14%
57% Ball Possession 43%
17 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 2
402 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CD Olimpia
3W-2D-1L
AWAY CD Victoria
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
15.05.2025 CD Victoria CD Victoria 0-2 HT 0-2 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia HON
12.04.2025 CD Victoria CD Victoria 1-1 HT 0-0 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia HON
13.02.2025 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia 1-1 HT 0-0 CD Victoria CD Victoria HON
20.10.2024 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia 4-3 HT 4-1 CD Victoria CD Victoria HON
12.08.2024 CD Victoria CD Victoria 3-1 HT 3-0 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia HON
29.04.2024 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia 2-0 HT 2-0 CD Victoria CD Victoria HON
POST-MATCH CD Olimpia vs CD Victoria
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CD Olimpia nicked a narrow win over CD Victoria 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had CD Olimpia as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, CD Olimpia had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for CD Olimpia and 1.33 for CD Victoria.

What was the final score of CD Olimpia vs CD Victoria?

CD Olimpia 2-1 CD Victoria in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 18/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CD Olimpia vs CD Victoria?

Before kick-off our model rated a CD Olimpia win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split CD Olimpia 49%, draw 27%, CD Victoria 25%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CD Olimpia) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (CD Olimpia) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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