CD Olimpia 1-1 CD Victoria — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Honduras - National League Apertura, 13 Feb 2025

📅13/02/2025 · 🕒04:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.29
Draw
25%
4.95
Away
16%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.15
Over 2.5
51%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.99
No
50%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
4%
X/X
13%
2/1
13%
2/2
7%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
73%
-14.5pp
26%
Draw
17%
+8.3pp
16%
Away Win
10%
+6.3pp
49%
Under 2.5
43%
+5.7pp
51%
Over 2.5
57%
-5.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
46%
+3.8pp
50%
BTTS No
54%
-3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CD Olimpia EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY CD Victoria EU Bookmakers 12%
-2% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +10%
2.50/0.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/2.08
+19% / +29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / +4%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
362 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CD Olimpia
3W-2D-1L
AWAY CD Victoria
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
20.10.2024 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia 4-3 HT 4-1 CD Victoria CD Victoria HON
12.08.2024 CD Victoria CD Victoria 3-1 HT 3-0 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia HON
29.04.2024 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia 2-0 HT 2-0 CD Victoria CD Victoria HON
04.03.2024 CD Victoria CD Victoria 0-0 HT 0-0 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia HON
09.10.2023 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia 1-1 HT 0-1 CD Victoria CD Victoria HON
13.08.2023 CD Victoria CD Victoria 0-2 HT 0-0 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia HON
POST-MATCH CD Olimpia vs CD Victoria
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CD Olimpia and CD Victoria shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had CD Olimpia at 59% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, CD Olimpia had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for CD Olimpia and 1.17 for CD Victoria.

What was the final score of CD Olimpia vs CD Victoria?

CD Olimpia 1-1 CD Victoria in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 13/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CD Olimpia vs CD Victoria?

Before kick-off our model rated a CD Olimpia win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split CD Olimpia 59%, draw 26%, CD Victoria 16%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (CD Olimpia) ✗ Over 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
HON More Honduras - National League Apertura
13 Feb 2025
00:00 Juticalpa vs Motagua Analysis →
02:15 Genesis PN vs CD Real Sociedad Analysis →