Genesis PN 1-1 CD Real Sociedad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Honduras - National League Apertura, 13 Feb 2025

📅13/02/2025 · 🕒02:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.92
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
30%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.8
Over 2.5
47%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.76
No
48%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
24%
X/2
11%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
15%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
48%
-4.0pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.8pp
30%
Away Win
25%
+4.8pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+1.6pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-1.6pp
52%
BTTS Yes
53%
-1.1pp
48%
BTTS No
47%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Genesis PN EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY CD Real Sociedad EU Bookmakers 29%
+25% / +25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -18% / -22%
2.44/0.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.68/1.41
+57% / +52% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -41% / -2%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
365 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Genesis PN
4W-2D-0L
AWAY CD Real Sociedad
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
03.11.2024 CD Real Sociedad CD Real Sociedad 2-4 HT 0-1 Genesis PN HON
25.08.2024 Genesis PN 1-1 HT 0-1 CD Real Sociedad CD Real Sociedad HON
09.04.2024 Genesis PN 1-0 HT 1-0 CD Real Sociedad CD Real Sociedad HON
12.02.2024 CD Real Sociedad CD Real Sociedad 1-2 HT 1-0 Genesis PN HON
03.12.2023 Genesis PN 3-2 HT 2-0 CD Real Sociedad CD Real Sociedad HON
30.11.2023 CD Real Sociedad CD Real Sociedad 0-0 HT 0-0 Genesis PN HON
POST-MATCH Genesis PN vs CD Real Sociedad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Genesis PN and CD Real Sociedad shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Genesis PN at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Genesis PN had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Genesis PN and 1.00 for CD Real Sociedad.

What was the final score of Genesis PN vs CD Real Sociedad?

Genesis PN 1-1 CD Real Sociedad in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 13/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Genesis PN vs CD Real Sociedad?

Before kick-off our model rated a Genesis PN win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Genesis PN 44%, draw 26%, CD Real Sociedad 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Genesis PN) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Genesis PN) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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