Juticalpa 0-3 Motagua — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Honduras - National League Apertura, 13 Feb 2025

📅13/02/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
18%
4.71
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
56%
1.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.75
Over 2.5
45%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.99
No
58%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
6%
X/2
23%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
28%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
18%
Home Win
18%
-0.1pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.1pp
56%
Away Win
57%
-1.1pp
55%
Under 2.5
53%
+1.9pp
45%
Over 2.5
47%
-1.9pp
42%
BTTS Yes
46%
-4.1pp
58%
BTTS No
54%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Juticalpa EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY Motagua EU Bookmakers 61%
-18% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -8%
0.25/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.05/0.98
-75% / +81% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +44% / -6%
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
252 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 350 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Juticalpa
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Motagua
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
25.11.2024 Juticalpa Juticalpa 1-3 HT 1-0 Motagua Motagua HON
19.09.2024 Motagua Motagua 3-0 HT 1-0 Juticalpa Juticalpa HON
POST-MATCH Juticalpa vs Motagua
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Motagua cruised past Juticalpa 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Motagua as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (58%) landed while under 2.5 goals (55%) missed.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Motagua led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Juticalpa and 3.00 for Motagua.

What was the final score of Juticalpa vs Motagua?

Juticalpa 0-3 Motagua in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 13/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Juticalpa vs Motagua?

Before kick-off our model rated an Motagua win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Juticalpa 18%, draw 26%, Motagua 56%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Motagua), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Motagua) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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