CD Victoria 1-1 CD Olimpia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Honduras - National League Apertura, 12 Apr 2025

📅12/04/2025 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
4.04
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
46%
1.77
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.71
Over 2.5
35%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.96
No
58%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
15%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
22%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
21%
+5.7pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.1pp
46%
Away Win
52%
-6.8pp
65%
Under 2.5
55%
+10.4pp
35%
Over 2.5
45%
-10.4pp
42%
BTTS Yes
47%
-4.9pp
58%
BTTS No
53%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CD Victoria EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY CD Olimpia EU Bookmakers 56%
+8% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -14%
1.05/1.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.64/0.85
+8% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +23%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
234 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 433 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 5.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CD Victoria
1W-3D-2L
AWAY CD Olimpia
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
13.02.2025 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia 1-1 HT 0-0 CD Victoria CD Victoria HON
20.10.2024 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia 4-3 HT 4-1 CD Victoria CD Victoria HON
12.08.2024 CD Victoria CD Victoria 3-1 HT 3-0 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia HON
29.04.2024 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia 2-0 HT 2-0 CD Victoria CD Victoria HON
04.03.2024 CD Victoria CD Victoria 0-0 HT 0-0 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia HON
09.10.2023 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia 1-1 HT 0-1 CD Victoria CD Victoria HON
POST-MATCH CD Victoria vs CD Olimpia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CD Victoria and CD Olimpia couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was CD Olimpia at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (65%) landed while no to both teams scoring (58%) missed.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, CD Olimpia led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for CD Victoria and 1.50 for CD Olimpia.

What was the final score of CD Victoria vs CD Olimpia?

CD Victoria 1-1 CD Olimpia in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 12/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CD Victoria vs CD Olimpia?

Before kick-off our model rated an CD Olimpia win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split CD Victoria 27%, draw 27%, CD Olimpia 46%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (CD Olimpia), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (CD Olimpia) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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