Alianza Petrolera vs America de Cali Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Alianza Petrolera v America de Cali — Team-Based Signals
Alianza Petrolera vs America de Cali Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-3
HT 1-2
America de Cali
KOL
1-0
HT 1-0
Alianza Petrolera
KOL
Alianza Petrolera 1-0 America de Cali — Actual Match Statistics
Alianza Petrolera squeezed past America de Cali 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match split (32% / 34% / 33%) promised a tight game; Alianza Petrolera found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Alianza Petrolera had 54% of the ball to America de Cali's 46%, shots finished 6-14, expected goals 0.99 to 1.05.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, America de Cali led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Alianza Petrolera and 1.83 for America de Cali.
What was the final score of Alianza Petrolera vs America de Cali?
Alianza Petrolera 1-0 America de Cali in the Colombia - Primera on 01/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Alianza Petrolera vs America de Cali?
Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 34%, with the full match-result split Alianza Petrolera 32%, draw 34%, America de Cali 33%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Draw) went the other way.