Deportes Tolima vs Fortaleza CEIF Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Deportes Tolima v Fortaleza CEIF — Team-Based Signals
Deportes Tolima vs Fortaleza CEIF Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
1-1
HT 1-0
Fortaleza CEIF
KOL
Deportes Tolima 1-1 Fortaleza CEIF — Actual Match Statistics
Deportes Tolima and Fortaleza CEIF couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Deportes Tolima at 56% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. On goals, under 2.5 goals (55%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.
On the day, Deportes Tolima had 42% of the ball to Fortaleza CEIF's 58%, shots finished 9-5, expected goals 0.83 to 0.40.
For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Fortaleza CEIF led the recent series with 1 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Deportes Tolima and 1.25 for Fortaleza CEIF.
What was the final score of Deportes Tolima vs Fortaleza CEIF?
Deportes Tolima 1-1 Fortaleza CEIF in the Colombia - Primera on 01/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Deportes Tolima vs Fortaleza CEIF?
Before kick-off our model rated a Deportes Tolima win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Deportes Tolima 56%, draw 24%, Fortaleza CEIF 20%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Deportes Tolima), BTTS No went the other way.