Coventry 3-0 Blackburn Rovers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 1 Oct 2024

📅01/10/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.0
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
30%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5 OUR CALL
54%
1.95
Over 2.5
46%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.68
No
49%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.6
2-3 Goals
39%
1.81
4-5 Goals
23%
3.34
6+ Goals
9%
12.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.6 — our 29% vs market 22.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.74
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
10%
12.7
X/1
12%
4.67
X/2
10%
7.4
X/X
13%
4.72
2/1
8%
24.45
2/2
14%
5.25
2/X
6%
13.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 54%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
46%
-4.6pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.3pp
30%
Away Win
27%
+3.3pp
54%
Under 2.5
48%
+5.9pp
46%
Over 2.5
52%
-5.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.9pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Coventry EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Blackburn Rovers EU Bookmakers 30%
-7% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +9%
1.42/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.33
-22% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / -7%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
336 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 73%
24.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.0
20.1 Crosses 13.7
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Coventry
2W-4D-0L
AWAY Blackburn Rovers
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.13 xG 0.81
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
290 Passes 376
74% Pass Accuracy 77%
20 Box Touches 23
15 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 3
27.04.2024 Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers 0-0 HT 0-0 Coventry Coventry İNCL
04.10.2023 Coventry Coventry 1-0 HT 0-0 Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers İNCL
19.04.2023 Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers 1-1 HT 1-0 Coventry Coventry İNCL
01.11.2022 Coventry Coventry 1-0 HT 1-0 Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers İNCL
02.04.2022 Coventry Coventry 2-2 HT 1-0 Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers İNCL
16.10.2021 Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers 2-2 HT 2-0 Coventry Coventry İNCL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Coventry
3-0
AWAY Blackburn Rovers
1.20 xG 0.49
46% Ball Possession 54%
18 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 1
246 Passes 318
71% Pass Accuracy 75%
27 Box Touches 13
23 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Coventry vs Blackburn Rovers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Coventry cruised past Blackburn Rovers 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Coventry as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Coventry had 46% of the ball to Blackburn Rovers's 54%, shots finished 18-10, expected goals 1.20 to 0.49.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Coventry had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Coventry and 0.83 for Blackburn Rovers.

What was the final score of Coventry vs Blackburn Rovers?

Coventry 3-0 Blackburn Rovers in the England - Championship on 01/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Coventry vs Blackburn Rovers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Coventry win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Coventry 42%, draw 28%, Blackburn Rovers 30%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Coventry) — while Under 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Coventry) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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