Cardiff City vs Millwall Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Cardiff City v Millwall — Team-Based Signals
Cardiff City vs Millwall Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
Millwall
İNCL
0-1
HT 0-1
Millwall
İNCL
2-0
HT 0-0
Cardiff City
İNCL
2-1
HT 0-0
Cardiff City
İNCL
3-1
HT 0-0
Millwall
İNCL
Cardiff City 1-0 Millwall — Actual Match Statistics
Cardiff City squeezed past Millwall 1-0.
Our pre-match lean was Millwall at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.
On the day, Cardiff City had 49% of the ball to Millwall's 51%, shots finished 10-11, expected goals 0.81 to 1.27 — the balance of chances actually favoured Millwall.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Millwall led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Cardiff City and 1.50 for Millwall.
What was the final score of Cardiff City vs Millwall?
Cardiff City 1-0 Millwall in the England - Championship on 01/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Cardiff City vs Millwall?
Before kick-off our model rated an Millwall win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Cardiff City 29%, draw 29%, Millwall 42%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Millwall) went the other way.