Queens Park Rangers 1-3 Hull City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 1 Oct 2024

📅01/10/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.46
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
35%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5 OUR CALL
57%
1.86
Over 2.5
43%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.7
No
55%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.28
2-3 Goals
42%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
3.6
6+ Goals
9%
14.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.28 — our 29% vs market 24.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
3.62
1/2
6%
29.5
1/X
7%
13.0
X/1
13%
5.41
X/2
16%
5.65
X/X
15%
4.54
2/1
10%
28.5
2/2
14%
3.85
2/X
6%
13.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 57%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
38%
-0.8pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.4pp
35%
Away Win
35%
+0.4pp
57%
Under 2.5
50%
+7.4pp
43%
Over 2.5
50%
-7.4pp
45%
BTTS Yes
55%
-9.4pp
55%
BTTS No
45%
+9.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Queens Park Rangers EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Hull City EU Bookmakers 38%
-3% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +3%
1.21/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/0.96
-5% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / -7%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
257 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 72%
21.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.6
22.6 Crosses 15.9
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Queens Park Rangers
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Hull City
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.00 xG 0.82
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
418 Passes 376
83% Pass Accuracy 79%
20 Box Touches 17
18 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
13.04.2024 Hull City Hull City 3-0 HT 2-0 Queens Park Rangers Queens Park Rangers İNCL
09.12.2023 Queens Park Rangers Queens Park Rangers 2-0 HT 1-0 Hull City Hull City İNCL
28.01.2023 Hull City Hull City 3-0 HT 1-0 Queens Park Rangers Queens Park Rangers İNCL
30.08.2022 Queens Park Rangers Queens Park Rangers 3-1 HT 3-0 Hull City Hull City İNCL
19.02.2022 Queens Park Rangers Queens Park Rangers 1-1 HT 0-1 Hull City Hull City İNCL
14.08.2021 Hull City Hull City 0-3 HT 0-1 Queens Park Rangers Queens Park Rangers İNCL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Queens Park Rangers
1-3
AWAY Hull City
2.41 xG 1.72
47% Ball Possession 53%
21 Total Shots 15
7 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
362 Passes 403
84% Pass Accuracy 84%
43 Box Touches 28
19 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Queens Park Rangers vs Hull City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hull City saw off Queens Park Rangers 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 28% / 35% — and on the day Hull City made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Queens Park Rangers had 47% of the ball to Hull City's 53%, shots finished 21-15, expected goals 2.41 to 1.72 — the balance of chances actually favoured Queens Park Rangers.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Queens Park Rangers had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Queens Park Rangers and 1.33 for Hull City.

What was the final score of Queens Park Rangers vs Hull City?

Queens Park Rangers 1-3 Hull City in the England - Championship on 01/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Queens Park Rangers vs Hull City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Queens Park Rangers win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Queens Park Rangers 37%, draw 28%, Hull City 35%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Queens Park Rangers) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İNCL More England - Championship
1 Oct 2024
21:45 Coventry vs Blackburn Rovers Analysis →
21:45 Sunderland vs Derby County Analysis →
21:45 Cardiff City vs Millwall Analysis →
21:45 Norwich City vs Leeds United Analysis →
21:45 Luton Town vs Oxford United Analysis →
21:45 Burnley vs Plymouth Argyle Analysis →