Sunderland vs Derby County Prediction — Model Probabilities
Sunderland v Derby County — Team-Based Signals
Sunderland vs Derby County Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Sunderland 2-0 Derby County — Actual Match Statistics
Sunderland put daylight between themselves and Derby County 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.
The way our numbers pointed is the way it went: our model had Sunderland as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.
No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 48% and both teams to score at 48%, coin-flips both.
Under the surface, Sunderland had 51% of the ball to Derby County's 49%, shots finished 9-13, expected goals 1.00 to 0.95.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sunderland had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Sunderland and 0.67 for Derby County.
Sunderland vs Derby County Result & Final Score
Sunderland 2 - 0 Derby County in the England - Championship on 01/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Sunderland vs Derby County Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Sunderland win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Sunderland 60%, draw 24%, Derby County 17%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sunderland), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.