Dinamo Tbilisi 0-2 Saburtalo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Georgia - Erovnuli Liga, 1 Nov 2024

📅01/11/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.8
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
38%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.95
Over 2.5
45%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.66
No
53%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
14%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
19%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
32%
+1.4pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.4pp
38%
Away Win
41%
-2.8pp
55%
Under 2.5
48%
+7.7pp
45%
Over 2.5
52%
-7.7pp
47%
BTTS Yes
56%
-9.3pp
53%
BTTS No
44%
+9.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dinamo Tbilisi EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Saburtalo EU Bookmakers 45%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -18%
0.90/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.47
-23% / +64% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / -21%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
296 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 362 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dinamo Tbilisi
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Saburtalo
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
25.08.2024 Saburtalo 3-0 HT 3-0 Dinamo Tbilisi Dinamo Tbilisi GUR
10.05.2024 Dinamo Tbilisi Dinamo Tbilisi 1-0 HT 1-0 Saburtalo GUR
15.03.2024 Saburtalo 1-0 HT 1-0 Dinamo Tbilisi Dinamo Tbilisi GUR
02.12.2023 Saburtalo 0-3 HT 0-0 Dinamo Tbilisi Dinamo Tbilisi GUR
29.09.2023 Dinamo Tbilisi Dinamo Tbilisi 1-0 HT 1-0 Saburtalo GUR
01.06.2023 Saburtalo 2-1 HT 0-0 Dinamo Tbilisi Dinamo Tbilisi GUR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dinamo Tbilisi
0-2
AWAY Saburtalo
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Dinamo Tbilisi vs Saburtalo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Saburtalo got the better of Dinamo Tbilisi 2-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (34% / 28% / 38%) promised a tight game; Saburtalo found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Dinamo Tbilisi had 44% of the ball to Saburtalo's 56%, shots finished 11-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Dinamo Tbilisi and 1.00 for Saburtalo.

What was the final score of Dinamo Tbilisi vs Saburtalo?

Dinamo Tbilisi 0-2 Saburtalo in the Georgia - Erovnuli Liga on 01/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dinamo Tbilisi vs Saburtalo?

Before kick-off our model rated an Saburtalo win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Dinamo Tbilisi 34%, draw 28%, Saburtalo 38%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Saburtalo), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Saburtalo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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