Gagra vs Samtredia Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Gagra v Samtredia — Team-Based Signals
Gagra vs Samtredia Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
4-3
HT 2-3
Samtredia
GUR
3-1
HT 3-1
Gagra
GUR
0-1
HT 0-0
Samtredia
GUR
Gagra 2-1 Samtredia — Actual Match Statistics
Gagra nicked a narrow win over Samtredia 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Gagra as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, Gagra had 44% of the ball to Samtredia's 56%, shots finished 13-10.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Gagra and 1.83 for Samtredia.
What was the final score of Gagra vs Samtredia?
Gagra 2-1 Samtredia in the Georgia - Erovnuli Liga on 01/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Gagra vs Samtredia?
Before kick-off our model rated a Gagra win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Gagra 47%, draw 29%, Samtredia 24%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gagra), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.