Southampton U21 2-4 Brighton & Hove Alb. U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — INGPL2, 1 Nov 2024

📅01/11/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.57
Draw
25%
3.8
Away
38%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
2.98
Over 2.5
63%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
67%
1.33
No
33%
3.05
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
14%
2-3 Goals
50%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
10%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
16%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
35%
+2.3pp
25%
Draw
22%
+3.0pp
38%
Away Win
43%
-5.4pp
37%
Under 2.5
30%
+6.9pp
63%
Over 2.5
70%
-6.9pp
67%
BTTS Yes
71%
-3.7pp
33%
BTTS No
29%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Southampton U21 EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Brighton & Hove Alb. U21 EU Bookmakers 48%
+55% / +55% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+3% / +145% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 5
332 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
12.0 Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Southampton U21
2-4
AWAY Brighton & Hove Alb. U21
45% Ball Possession 55%
17 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
325 Passes 421
86% Pass Accuracy 86%
22 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Southampton U21 vs Brighton & Hove Alb. U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Brighton & Hove Alb. U21 beat Southampton U21 4-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (37% / 25% / 38%) promised a tight game; Brighton & Hove Alb. U21 found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (67%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Southampton U21 had 45% of the ball to Brighton & Hove Alb. U21's 55%, shots finished 17-11.

What was the final score of Southampton U21 vs Brighton & Hove Alb. U21?

Southampton U21 2-4 Brighton & Hove Alb. U21 in the INGPL2 on 01/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Southampton U21 vs Brighton & Hove Alb. U21?

Before kick-off our model rated an Brighton & Hove Alb. U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Southampton U21 37%, draw 25%, Brighton & Hove Alb. U21 38%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Brighton & Hove Alb. U21), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Brighton & Hove Alb. U21) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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