Sporting CP II 1-0 Sporting Covilha — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 1 Nov 2024

📅01/11/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.82
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
27%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.74
Over 2.5
44%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.9
No
53%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
11%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
51%
-2.8pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.3pp
27%
Away Win
24%
+3.1pp
56%
Under 2.5
54%
+1.8pp
44%
Over 2.5
46%
-1.8pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.3pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sporting CP II EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Sporting Covilha EU Bookmakers 27%
-8% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
1.32/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.13
+1% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +13%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
306 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sporting CP II
2W-1D-2L
AWAY Sporting Covilha
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.80
56% Ball Possession 44%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
03.08.2024 Sporting Covilha Sporting Covilha 2-3 HT 1-2 Sporting CP II Sporting CP II POR3
12.11.2023 Sporting CP II Sporting CP II 2-2 HT 1-1 Sporting Covilha Sporting Covilha POR3
13.08.2023 Sporting Covilha Sporting Covilha 3-0 HT 3-0 Sporting CP II Sporting CP II POR3
12.04.2015 Sporting Covilha Sporting Covilha 2-0 HT 1-0 Sporting CP II Sporting CP II POR2
02.03.2014 Sporting CP II Sporting CP II 1-0 HT 1-0 Sporting Covilha Sporting Covilha POR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sporting CP II
1-0
AWAY Sporting Covilha
58% Ball Possession 42%
19 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sporting CP II vs Sporting Covilha
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sporting CP II squeezed past Sporting Covilha 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Sporting CP II as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Sporting CP II had 58% of the ball to Sporting Covilha's 42%, shots finished 19-12.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Sporting CP II and 1.80 for Sporting Covilha.

What was the final score of Sporting CP II vs Sporting Covilha?

Sporting CP II 1-0 Sporting Covilha in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 01/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sporting CP II vs Sporting Covilha?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sporting CP II win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Sporting CP II 48%, draw 25%, Sporting Covilha 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sporting CP II), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sporting CP II) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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