Varzim 2-1 Anadia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 1 Nov 2024

📅01/11/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.61
Draw
22%
3.72
Away
25%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.75
Over 2.5
49%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.99
No
50%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
58%
-5.4pp
22%
Draw
24%
-1.4pp
25%
Away Win
18%
+6.6pp
51%
Under 2.5
53%
-2.5pp
49%
Over 2.5
47%
+2.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
46%
+3.7pp
50%
BTTS No
54%
-3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Varzim EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Anadia EU Bookmakers 21%
-5% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -6%
1.34/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.72
-17% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / -25%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
387 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Varzim
3W-1D-1L
AWAY Anadia
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
03.08.2024 Anadia Anadia 0-2 HT 0-2 Varzim Varzim POR3
13.01.2024 Varzim Varzim 2-1 HT 1-1 Anadia Anadia POR3
01.10.2023 Anadia Anadia 3-0 HT 1-0 Varzim Varzim POR3
14.01.2023 Varzim Varzim 2-1 HT 1-0 Anadia Anadia POR3
17.12.2019 Varzim Varzim 1-1 HT 0-0 Anadia Anadia POK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Varzim
2-1
AWAY Anadia
44% Ball Possession 56%
7 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Varzim vs Anadia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Varzim edged past Anadia 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Varzim as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Varzim had 44% of the ball to Anadia's 56%, shots finished 7-10.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Varzim had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Varzim and 1.20 for Anadia.

What was the final score of Varzim vs Anadia?

Varzim 2-1 Anadia in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 01/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Varzim vs Anadia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Varzim win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Varzim 53%, draw 22%, Anadia 25%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Varzim) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Varzim) ✗ Under 2.5
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