Uniao Santarem 2-2 Oliveira Hospital — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 1 Nov 2024

📅01/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.75
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
25%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.68
Over 2.5
42%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.99
No
55%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
17%
X/2
12%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
8%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
54%
-6.9pp
28%
Draw
25%
+2.8pp
25%
Away Win
21%
+4.1pp
58%
Under 2.5
56%
+2.4pp
42%
Over 2.5
44%
-2.4pp
45%
BTTS Yes
46%
-1.2pp
55%
BTTS No
54%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Uniao Santarem EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Oliveira Hospital EU Bookmakers 24%
-69% / -69% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -18%
0.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.70/1.73
-100% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -31% / -26%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
375 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 206 · 66%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Uniao Santarem
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Oliveira Hospital
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 2
11 Corners 6
12.10.2024 Oliveira Hospital Oliveira Hospital 1-2 HT 1-0 Uniao Santarem Uniao Santarem POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Uniao Santarem
2-2
AWAY Oliveira Hospital
61% Ball Possession 39%
5 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
6 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Uniao Santarem vs Oliveira Hospital
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Uniao Santarem and Oliveira Hospital couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Uniao Santarem at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Uniao Santarem had 61% of the ball to Oliveira Hospital's 39%, shots finished 5-7.

What was the final score of Uniao Santarem vs Oliveira Hospital?

Uniao Santarem 2-2 Oliveira Hospital in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 01/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Uniao Santarem vs Oliveira Hospital?

Before kick-off our model rated a Uniao Santarem win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Uniao Santarem 47%, draw 28%, Oliveira Hospital 25%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Uniao Santarem) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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