Brighton & Hove Albion 3-0 Leeds United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 1 Nov 2025

Brighton & Hove Albion
3-0 HT 1-0
Leeds United
📅01/11/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
England - Premier League – 2025/2026

Brighton & Hove Albion vs Leeds United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.89
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
25%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.91
Over 2.5
47%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.73
No
50%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.39
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
3.32
6+ Goals
9%
12.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.39 — our 31% vs market 23.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.57
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
6%
13.2
X/1
14%
4.61
X/2
13%
7.91
X/X
15%
4.94
2/1
12%
23.55
2/2
6%
5.92
2/X
6%
14.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
49%
-0.8pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.2pp
25%
Away Win
25%
-0.4pp
53%
Under 2.5
48%
+4.2pp
47%
Over 2.5
52%
-4.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
54%
-3.9pp
50%
BTTS No
46%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Brighton & Hove Albion v Leeds United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Brighton & Hove Albion EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Leeds United EU Bookmakers 29%
-6% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -20%
1.49/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/1.62
-4% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -18%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
376 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 76%
29.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.3
20.0 Crosses 17.3
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.2

Brighton & Hove Albion vs Leeds United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Brighton & Hove Albion
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Leeds United
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
2.17 xG 1.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
327 Passes 349
76% Pass Accuracy 77%
29 Box Touches 20
15 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
11.03.2023 Leeds United Leeds United 2-2 HT 1-1 Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton & Hove Albion İNP
27.08.2022 Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton & Hove Albion 1-0 HT 0-0 Leeds United Leeds United İNP
15.05.2022 Leeds United Leeds United 1-1 HT 0-1 Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton & Hove Albion İNP
27.11.2021 Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton & Hove Albion 0-0 HT 0-0 Leeds United Leeds United İNP
01.05.2021 Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton & Hove Albion 2-0 HT 1-0 Leeds United Leeds United İNP
16.01.2021 Leeds United Leeds United 0-1 HT 0-1 Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton & Hove Albion İNP

Brighton & Hove Albion 3-0 Leeds United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Brighton & Hove Albion
3-0
AWAY Leeds United
3.07 xG 0.50
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 5
7 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 7
431 Passes 423
88% Pass Accuracy 87%
26 Box Touches 18
10 Crosses 19
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Brighton & Hove Albion vs Leeds United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Brighton & Hove Albion swept aside Leeds United 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Brighton & Hove Albion as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Brighton & Hove Albion had 50% of the ball to Leeds United's 50%, shots finished 14-5, expected goals 3.07 to 0.50.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Brighton & Hove Albion had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Brighton & Hove Albion and 0.50 for Leeds United.

What was the final score of Brighton & Hove Albion vs Leeds United?

Brighton & Hove Albion 3-0 Leeds United in the England - Premier League on 01/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Brighton & Hove Albion vs Leeds United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Brighton & Hove Albion win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Brighton & Hove Albion 48%, draw 27%, Leeds United 25%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Brighton & Hove Albion) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Brighton & Hove Albion) ✗ Under 2.5
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