Burnley 0-2 Arsenal — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 1 Nov 2025

Burnley
0-2 HT 0-2
Arsenal
📅01/11/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 ✗ 2nd Score 0-4 ✗
England - Premier League – 2025/2026

Burnley vs Arsenal Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
12%
7.95
Draw
15%
4.81
Away
73%
1.3
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.91
Over 2.5
53%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.44
No
60%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.26
2-3 Goals
44%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
3.43
6+ Goals
10%
13.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
20.85
1/2
7%
27.5
1/X
4%
29.5
X/1
3%
21.05
X/2
18%
3.5
X/X
7%
6.65
2/1
3%
35.0
2/2
48%
1.49
2/X
4%
24.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
12%
Home Win
10%
+1.9pp
15%
Draw
18%
-2.4pp
73%
Away Win
72%
+0.5pp
47%
Under 2.5
48%
-1.1pp
53%
Over 2.5
52%
+1.1pp
40%
BTTS Yes
37%
+3.2pp
60%
BTTS No
63%
-3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Burnley v Arsenal — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Burnley EU Bookmakers 13%
Head to Head
AWAY Arsenal EU Bookmakers 77%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +13%
0.64/1.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.96/0.70
-61% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / +29%
38% Ball Possession 62%
8 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 7
276 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 509 · 87%
12.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 37.3
12.8 Crosses 18.4
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.3

Burnley vs Arsenal Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Burnley
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Arsenal
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.77 xG 1.79
36% Ball Possession 64%
10 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 8
241 Passes 489
72% Pass Accuracy 84%
18 Box Touches 38
17 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
17.02.2024 Burnley Burnley 0-5 HT 0-2 Arsenal Arsenal İNP
11.11.2023 Arsenal Arsenal 3-1 HT 1-0 Burnley Burnley İNP
23.01.2022 Arsenal Arsenal 0-0 HT 0-0 Burnley Burnley İNP
18.09.2021 Burnley Burnley 0-1 HT 0-1 Arsenal Arsenal İNP
06.03.2021 Burnley Burnley 1-1 HT 1-1 Arsenal Arsenal İNP
13.12.2020 Arsenal Arsenal 0-1 HT 0-0 Burnley Burnley İNP

Burnley 0-2 Arsenal — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Burnley
0-2
AWAY Arsenal
0.35 xG 2.42
46% Ball Possession 54%
3 Total Shots 12
0 Shots on Target 8
1 Corners 6
348 Passes 426
82% Pass Accuracy 86%
12 Box Touches 23
13 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Burnley vs Arsenal
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arsenal got the better of Burnley 2-0 away from home.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Arsenal as the likeliest winner at 73%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (60%) came in.

On the day, Burnley had 46% of the ball to Arsenal's 54%, shots finished 3-12, expected goals 0.35 to 2.42.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Arsenal led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Burnley and 1.67 for Arsenal.

What was the final score of Burnley vs Arsenal?

Burnley 0-2 Arsenal in the England - Premier League on 01/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Burnley vs Arsenal?

Before kick-off our model rated an Arsenal win the most likely single outcome at about 73%, with the full match-result split Burnley 12%, draw 15%, Arsenal 73%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Arsenal), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Arsenal) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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