Nottingham Forest 2-2 Manchester United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 1 Nov 2025

Nottingham Forest
2-2 HT 0-1
Manchester United
📅01/11/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
England - Premier League – 2025/2026

Nottingham Forest vs Manchester United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.94
Draw
21%
3.45
Away
50%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.07
Over 2.5
58%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.6
No
43%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.86
2-3 Goals
37%
1.82
4-5 Goals
28%
3.05
6+ Goals
11%
9.82
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
4.73
1/2 EV+ ✗
8%
23.55
1/X
5%
13.15
X/1
15%
6.98
X/2
13%
5.11
X/X
10%
5.15
2/1
5%
30.5
2/2
29%
2.92
2/X
6%
12.6
Value flag · 1/2 at 23.55 — our 8% vs market 2.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
31%
-1.7pp
21%
Draw
26%
-4.9pp
50%
Away Win
44%
+6.6pp
42%
Under 2.5
44%
-2.5pp
58%
Over 2.5
56%
+2.5pp
57%
BTTS Yes
58%
-1.6pp
43%
BTTS No
42%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Nottingham Forest v Manchester United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nottingham Forest EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Manchester United EU Bookmakers 48%
-1% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -17%
1.39/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.56/1.46
+23% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / -1%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
331 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 386 · 80%
22.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.3
19.4 Crosses 15.8
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.2

Nottingham Forest vs Manchester United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nottingham Forest
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Manchester United
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.81 xG 2.06
35% Ball Possession 65%
10 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 8
229 Passes 498
73% Pass Accuracy 85%
19 Box Touches 34
13 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
01.04.2025 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest 1-0 HT 1-0 Manchester United Manchester United İNP
07.12.2024 Manchester United Manchester United 2-3 HT 1-1 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest İNP
28.02.2024 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest 0-1 HT 0-0 Manchester United Manchester United FAK
30.12.2023 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest 2-1 HT 0-0 Manchester United Manchester United İNP
26.08.2023 Manchester United Manchester United 3-2 HT 1-2 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest İNP
16.04.2023 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest 0-2 HT 0-1 Manchester United Manchester United İNP

Nottingham Forest 2-2 Manchester United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nottingham Forest
2-2
AWAY Manchester United
1.93 xG 1.26
41% Ball Possession 59%
17 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 7
8 Corners 5
263 Passes 442
75% Pass Accuracy 84%
24 Box Touches 17
25 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Nottingham Forest vs Manchester United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nottingham Forest and Manchester United shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Manchester United at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Nottingham Forest had 41% of the ball to Manchester United's 59%, shots finished 17-18, expected goals 1.93 to 1.26.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Nottingham Forest and 1.50 for Manchester United.

What was the final score of Nottingham Forest vs Manchester United?

Nottingham Forest 2-2 Manchester United in the England - Premier League on 01/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nottingham Forest vs Manchester United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Manchester United win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Nottingham Forest 29%, draw 21%, Manchester United 50%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Manchester United) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Manchester United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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