Tottenham 0-1 Chelsea — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 1 Nov 2025

📅01/11/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.8
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
40%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.0
Over 2.5
54%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.61
No
43%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.66
2-3 Goals
40%
1.81
4-5 Goals
24%
3.15
6+ Goals
11%
10.75
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
4.42
1/2 EV+ ✗
11%
24.85
1/X
5%
12.65
X/1
10%
6.64
X/2
9%
5.37
X/X
12%
4.87
2/1
7%
29.5
2/2
19%
3.18
2/X
7%
12.25
Value flag · 1/2 at 24.85 — our 11% vs market 2.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
32%
+4.1pp
24%
Draw
27%
-2.9pp
40%
Away Win
41%
-1.2pp
46%
Under 2.5
46%
-0.4pp
54%
Over 2.5
54%
+0.4pp
57%
BTTS Yes
58%
-1.2pp
43%
BTTS No
42%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tottenham EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Chelsea EU Bookmakers 45%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / +7%
1.50/1.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.43/1.62
+2% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -10%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
327 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 405 · 83%
28.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.9
19.5 Crosses 15.8
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tottenham
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Chelsea
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.35 xG 2.03
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
334 Passes 429
83% Pass Accuracy 85%
24 Box Touches 35
16 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 3
03.04.2025 Chelsea Chelsea 1-0 HT 0-0 Tottenham Tottenham İNP
08.12.2024 Tottenham Tottenham 3-4 HT 2-1 Chelsea Chelsea İNP
02.05.2024 Chelsea Chelsea 2-0 HT 1-0 Tottenham Tottenham İNP
06.11.2023 Tottenham Tottenham 1-4 HT 1-1 Chelsea Chelsea İNP
26.02.2023 Tottenham Tottenham 2-0 HT 0-0 Chelsea Chelsea İNP
14.08.2022 Chelsea Chelsea 2-2 HT 1-0 Tottenham Tottenham İNP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tottenham
0-1
AWAY Chelsea
0.12 xG 3.68
48% Ball Possession 52%
3 Total Shots 15
1 Shots on Target 9
6 Corners 5
294 Passes 343
76% Pass Accuracy 81%
16 Box Touches 36
16 Crosses 13
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Tottenham vs Chelsea
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chelsea edged past Tottenham 1-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 24% / 40% — and on the day Chelsea made the difference. The goals read — both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Tottenham had 48% of the ball to Chelsea's 52%, shots finished 3-15, expected goals 0.12 to 3.68 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Chelsea's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Chelsea led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Tottenham and 2.17 for Chelsea.

What was the final score of Tottenham vs Chelsea?

Tottenham 0-1 Chelsea in the England - Premier League on 01/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tottenham vs Chelsea?

Before kick-off our model rated an Chelsea win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Tottenham 36%, draw 24%, Chelsea 40%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chelsea) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Chelsea) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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