Liverpool vs Aston Villa Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Liverpool v Aston Villa — Team-Based Signals
Liverpool vs Aston Villa Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-0
HT 2-0
Aston Villa
İNP
1-1
HT 0-1
Aston Villa
İNP
1-3
HT 0-2
Liverpool
İNP
Liverpool 2-0 Aston Villa — Actual Match Statistics
Liverpool got the better of Aston Villa 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Liverpool as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, Liverpool had 53% of the ball to Aston Villa's 47%, shots finished 16-10, expected goals 1.19 to 0.41.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Liverpool had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Liverpool and 1.17 for Aston Villa.
What was the final score of Liverpool vs Aston Villa?
Liverpool 2-0 Aston Villa in the England - Premier League on 01/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Liverpool vs Aston Villa?
Before kick-off our model rated a Liverpool win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Liverpool 66%, draw 19%, Aston Villa 15%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Liverpool) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.