SGV Freiberg 1-1 Lehnerz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 1 Nov 2025

📅01/11/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
64%
1.75
Draw
16%
3.72
Away
20%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.23
Over 2.5
58%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.6
No
47%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
24%
X/2
5%
X/X
7%
2/1
10%
2/2
10%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
64%
Home Win
53%
+10.5pp
16%
Draw
24%
-7.2pp
20%
Away Win
23%
-3.3pp
42%
Under 2.5
41%
+1.4pp
58%
Over 2.5
59%
-1.4pp
53%
BTTS Yes
58%
-5.2pp
47%
BTTS No
42%
+5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME SGV Freiberg EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Lehnerz EU Bookmakers 26%
+11% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -8%
1.95/0.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.97
-1% / +74% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / -15%
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
352 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME SGV Freiberg
2W-1D-2L
AWAY Lehnerz
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.60
51% Ball Possession 49%
8 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 4
22.03.2025 Lehnerz Lehnerz 1-2 HT 0-2 SGV Freiberg SGV Freiberg ALMBÖL
14.09.2024 SGV Freiberg SGV Freiberg 1-1 HT 0-1 Lehnerz Lehnerz ALMBÖL
24.02.2024 Lehnerz Lehnerz 1-0 HT 1-0 SGV Freiberg SGV Freiberg ALMBÖL
19.08.2023 SGV Freiberg SGV Freiberg 0-4 HT 0-2 Lehnerz Lehnerz ALMBÖL
19.11.2022 SGV Freiberg SGV Freiberg 3-1 HT 2-0 Lehnerz Lehnerz ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH SGV Freiberg vs Lehnerz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SGV Freiberg and Lehnerz shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

This one beat our numbers. SGV Freiberg carried 64% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for SGV Freiberg and 1.60 for Lehnerz.

What was the final score of SGV Freiberg vs Lehnerz?

SGV Freiberg 1-1 Lehnerz in the Germany - Regional League on 01/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for SGV Freiberg vs Lehnerz?

Before kick-off our model rated a SGV Freiberg win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split SGV Freiberg 64%, draw 16%, Lehnerz 20%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (SGV Freiberg), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (SGV Freiberg) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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