Chelmsford City 4-1 Braintree Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - FA Cup, 1 Nov 2025

📅01/11/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.46
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
41%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
1.9
Over 2.5
56%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.75
No
40%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.19
2-3 Goals
37%
1.75
4-5 Goals EV+ ✓
27%
3.36
6+ Goals
11%
12.9
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.36 — our 27% vs market 23.1%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
9%
1/X
9%
X/1
8%
X/2
16%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
26%
+6.1pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.9pp
41%
Away Win
49%
-8.1pp
44%
Under 2.5
49%
-4.5pp
56%
Over 2.5
51%
+4.5pp
60%
BTTS Yes
53%
+7.0pp
40%
BTTS No
47%
-7.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chelmsford City EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Braintree Town EU Bookmakers 53%
+57% / +57% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -62% / -62%
2.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/3.00
+47% / +61% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -57%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
289 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 357 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chelmsford City
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Braintree Town
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
27.04.2024 Chelmsford City Chelmsford City 2-3 HT 0-0 Braintree Town Braintree Town İCON
01.01.2024 Chelmsford City Chelmsford City 3-0 HT 2-0 Braintree Town Braintree Town İCON
26.12.2023 Braintree Town Braintree Town 0-3 HT 0-0 Chelmsford City Chelmsford City İCON
01.01.2023 Braintree Town Braintree Town 2-2 HT 1-1 Chelmsford City Chelmsford City İCON
26.12.2022 Chelmsford City Chelmsford City 2-0 HT 1-0 Braintree Town Braintree Town İCON
08.02.2022 Braintree Town Braintree Town 2-2 HT 0-1 Chelmsford City Chelmsford City İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chelmsford City
4-1
AWAY Braintree Town
1.50 xG 1.41
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
157 Passes 182
64% Pass Accuracy 64%
22 Box Touches 17
18 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Chelmsford City vs Braintree Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chelmsford City ran out comfortable winners over Braintree Town 4-1. Half-time: 3-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Braintree Town at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (60%) came in.

On the day, Chelmsford City had 47% of the ball to Braintree Town's 53%, shots finished 14-10, expected goals 1.50 to 1.41.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Chelmsford City had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Chelmsford City and 1.17 for Braintree Town.

What was the final score of Chelmsford City vs Braintree Town?

Chelmsford City 4-1 Braintree Town in the England - FA Cup on 01/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chelmsford City vs Braintree Town?

Before kick-off our model rated an Braintree Town win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Chelmsford City 32%, draw 28%, Braintree Town 41%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Braintree Town) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Braintree Town) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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