Mansfield Town 3-2 Harrogate Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - FA Cup, 1 Nov 2025

📅01/11/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.45
Draw
22%
4.19
Away
19%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.15
Over 2.5
51%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.82
No
48%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.9
2-3 Goals
39%
1.81
4-5 Goals
22%
2.92
6+ Goals
13%
9.07
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.9 — our 26% vs market 19.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
29%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
5%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
65%
-5.5pp
22%
Draw
21%
+1.6pp
19%
Away Win
15%
+3.9pp
49%
Under 2.5
43%
+6.1pp
51%
Over 2.5
57%
-6.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.6pp
48%
BTTS No
49%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mansfield Town EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Harrogate Town EU Bookmakers 18%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +68% / +68%
1.79/0.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/0.42
-18% / +108% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +30% / +150%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
315 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 224 · 66%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mansfield Town
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Harrogate Town
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
2.34 xG 1.26
56% Ball Possession 44%
22 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
350 Passes 269
72% Pass Accuracy 69%
38 Box Touches 16
24 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
09.09.2025 Mansfield Town Mansfield Town 0-1 HT 0-1 Harrogate Town Harrogate Town İNTK
13.02.2024 Mansfield Town Mansfield Town 9-2 HT 5-0 Harrogate Town Harrogate Town İN2
24.10.2023 Harrogate Town Harrogate Town 1-4 HT 0-3 Mansfield Town Mansfield Town İN2
29.04.2023 Mansfield Town Mansfield Town 1-2 HT 0-2 Harrogate Town Harrogate Town İN2
19.11.2022 Harrogate Town Harrogate Town 3-0 HT 3-0 Mansfield Town Mansfield Town İN2
01.02.2022 Harrogate Town Harrogate Town 0-0 HT 0-0 Mansfield Town Mansfield Town İN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mansfield Town
3-2
AWAY Harrogate Town
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 5
POST-MATCH Mansfield Town vs Harrogate Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mansfield Town squeezed past Harrogate Town 3-2. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Mansfield Town as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Mansfield Town had 53% of the ball to Harrogate Town's 47%, shots finished 12-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Harrogate Town led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Mansfield Town and 1.50 for Harrogate Town.

What was the final score of Mansfield Town vs Harrogate Town?

Mansfield Town 3-2 Harrogate Town in the England - FA Cup on 01/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mansfield Town vs Harrogate Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mansfield Town win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Mansfield Town 59%, draw 22%, Harrogate Town 19%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mansfield Town), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Mansfield Town) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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