Newport County 2-2 Gillingham — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - FA Cup, 1 Nov 2025

📅01/11/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.99
Draw
23%
3.28
Away
41%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.78
Over 2.5
51%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.81
No
46%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.89
2-3 Goals
40%
1.73
4-5 Goals
22%
3.66
6+ Goals
10%
15.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
19%
1/X
9%
X/1
12%
X/2
11%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
30%
+6.4pp
23%
Draw
27%
-3.7pp
41%
Away Win
43%
-2.6pp
49%
Under 2.5
52%
-3.8pp
51%
Over 2.5
48%
+3.8pp
54%
BTTS Yes
51%
+2.6pp
46%
BTTS No
49%
-2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Newport County EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Gillingham EU Bookmakers 48%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -33% / -33%
1.02/1.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.48/2.26
-28% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -40%
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
243 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 72%
18.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
14.0 Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Newport County
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Gillingham
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.31 xG 1.57
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
205 Passes 285
63% Pass Accuracy 71%
19 Box Touches 33
14 Crosses 29
3 Yellow Cards 3
20.09.2025 Newport County Newport County 1-3 HT 1-3 Gillingham Gillingham İN2
04.03.2025 Newport County Newport County 3-1 HT 3-0 Gillingham Gillingham İN2
22.10.2024 Gillingham Gillingham 0-2 HT 0-2 Newport County Newport County İN2
17.02.2024 Newport County Newport County 1-0 HT 0-0 Gillingham Gillingham İN2
28.10.2023 Gillingham Gillingham 0-2 HT 0-2 Newport County Newport County İN2
29.04.2023 Gillingham Gillingham 1-2 HT 1-1 Newport County Newport County İN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Newport County
2-2
AWAY Gillingham
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 13
10 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 8
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Newport County vs Gillingham
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Newport County and Gillingham shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 23% / 41% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Newport County had 50% of the ball to Gillingham's 50%, shots finished 15-13.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Newport County had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Newport County and 0.83 for Gillingham.

What was the final score of Newport County vs Gillingham?

Newport County 2-2 Gillingham in the England - FA Cup on 01/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Newport County vs Gillingham?

Before kick-off our model rated an Gillingham win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Newport County 36%, draw 23%, Gillingham 41%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Gillingham) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gillingham) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
FAK More England - FA Cup
1 Nov 2025
15:00 Chelmsford City vs Braintree Town Analysis →
18:00 Wycombe Wanderers vs Plymouth Argyle Analysis →
18:00 Bromley vs Bristol Rovers Analysis →
18:00 Macclesfield vs AFC Totton Analysis →
18:00 Crewe Alexandra vs Doncaster Rovers Analysis →
18:00 Cheltenham Town vs Bradford City Analysis →