Al Ahed 0-4 Al Nejmeh — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lebanon - Premier League, 1 Nov 2025

📅01/11/2025 · 🕒17:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.67
Draw
48%
2.7
Away
13%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
73%
1.75
Over 2.5
27%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.68
No
45%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
50%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
22%
X/2
3%
X/X
36%
2/1
4%
2/2
7%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
34%
+5.5pp
48%
Draw
33%
+14.7pp
13%
Away Win
33%
-20.2pp
73%
Under 2.5
53%
+20.0pp
27%
Over 2.5
47%
-19.9pp
55%
BTTS Yes
56%
-0.5pp
45%
BTTS No
44%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Ahed EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Nejmeh EU Bookmakers 37%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+10% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
50% Ball Possession 50%
0 Total Shots 0
0 Shots on Target 0
0 Corners 0
0 · 0% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 0 · 0%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Ahed
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Al Nejmeh
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
03.07.2025 Al Nejmeh Al Nejmeh 4-1 HT 2-0 Al Ahed Al Ahed LUBN
18.05.2025 Al Nejmeh Al Nejmeh 1-1 HT 1-1 Al Ahed Al Ahed LUBN
19.04.2025 Al Ahed Al Ahed 1-0 HT 0-0 Al Nejmeh Al Nejmeh LUBN
26.01.2025 Al Nejmeh Al Nejmeh 1-2 HT 0-1 Al Ahed Al Ahed LUBN
POST-MATCH Al Ahed vs Al Nejmeh
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Nejmeh swept aside Al Ahed 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was the draw at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (73%), both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Al Ahed had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Al Ahed and 1.50 for Al Nejmeh.

What was the final score of Al Ahed vs Al Nejmeh?

Al Ahed 0-4 Al Nejmeh in the Lebanon - Premier League on 01/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Ahed vs Al Nejmeh?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Al Ahed 39%, draw 48%, Al Nejmeh 13%. The final score 0-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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