Alianza Lima vs Melgar Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Alianza Lima v Melgar — Team-Based Signals
Alianza Lima vs Melgar Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
Melgar
PER
2-1
HT 1-0
Alianza Lima
PER
2-0
HT 1-0
Melgar
PER
Alianza Lima 2-2 Melgar — Actual Match Statistics
Alianza Lima and Melgar shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.
Our pre-match lean was Alianza Lima at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Alianza Lima had 59% of the ball to Melgar's 41%, shots finished 18-7, expected goals 2.09 to 0.54.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Alianza Lima and 0.67 for Melgar.
What was the final score of Alianza Lima vs Melgar?
Alianza Lima 2-2 Melgar in the Peru - Premier League on 01/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Alianza Lima vs Melgar?
Before kick-off our model rated a Alianza Lima win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Alianza Lima 50%, draw 28%, Melgar 21%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.