Alianza Lima vs Melgar Prediction — Model Probabilities
Alianza Lima v Melgar — Team-Based Signals
Alianza Lima vs Melgar Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Alianza Lima 1-1 Melgar — Actual Match Statistics
Alianza Lima and Melgar couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.
Our model won't enjoy this one — Alianza Lima at 57% was the clear read, and the result ignored it. Over a season these leads pay; on a single Tuesday, anything can happen. The goals card split: under 2.5 goals (65%) came in, no to both teams scoring (59%) didn't.
By the numbers, Alianza Lima had 57% of the ball to Melgar's 43%, shots finished 7-8, expected goals 0.29 to 0.46.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Melgar led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Alianza Lima and 0.67 for Melgar.
Alianza Lima vs Melgar Result & Final Score
Alianza Lima 1 - 1 Melgar in the Peru - Premier League on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Alianza Lima vs Melgar Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Alianza Lima win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Alianza Lima 57%, draw 28%, Melgar 15%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Alianza Lima), BTTS No went the other way.