Alianza Lima vs Melgar Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Alianza Lima v Melgar — Team-Based Signals
Alianza Lima vs Melgar Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
Melgar
PER
2-1
HT 1-0
Alianza Lima
PER
2-0
HT 1-0
Melgar
PER
1-0
HT 0-0
Alianza Lima
PER
2-0
HT 2-0
Melgar
PER
Alianza Lima 1-1 Melgar — Actual Match Statistics
Alianza Lima and Melgar shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.
Our pre-match lean was Alianza Lima at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (70%) landed while no to both teams scoring (63%) missed.
On the day, Alianza Lima had 57% of the ball to Melgar's 43%, shots finished 7-8, expected goals 0.29 to 0.46.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Melgar led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Alianza Lima and 0.67 for Melgar.
What was the final score of Alianza Lima vs Melgar?
Alianza Lima 1-1 Melgar in the Peru - Premier League on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Alianza Lima vs Melgar?
Before kick-off our model rated a Alianza Lima win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Alianza Lima 46%, draw 32%, Melgar 23%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Alianza Lima), BTTS No went the other way.