Cienciano 1-2 Cusco FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 29 Sep 2024

📅29/09/2024 · 🕒01:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.8
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
36%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.68
Over 2.5
44%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.82
No
52%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
21%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
32%
+1.9pp
30%
Draw
29%
+0.8pp
36%
Away Win
39%
-2.7pp
56%
Under 2.5
56%
+0.1pp
44%
Over 2.5
44%
-0.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.5pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cienciano EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Cusco FC EU Bookmakers 43%
+2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -1%
1.14/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.55/1.69
-20% / +36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / -39%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
282 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 75%
19.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.3
20.2 Crosses 22.1
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cienciano
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Cusco FC
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.38 xG 1.22
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
288 Passes 270
78% Pass Accuracy 74%
17 Box Touches 15
22 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3
28.04.2024 Cusco FC Cusco FC 2-0 HT 1-0 Cienciano Cienciano PER
17.07.2023 Cusco FC Cusco FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Cienciano Cienciano PER
11.02.2023 Cienciano Cienciano 2-0 HT 1-0 Cusco FC Cusco FC PER
27.08.2021 Cusco FC Cusco FC 2-2 HT 1-1 Cienciano Cienciano PER
19.09.2020 Cusco FC Cusco FC 2-3 HT 0-3 Cienciano Cienciano PER
13.09.2015 Cusco FC Cusco FC 1-1 HT 0-0 Cienciano Cienciano PER
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cienciano
1-2
AWAY Cusco FC
0.81 xG 1.40
64% Ball Possession 36%
12 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 1
381 Passes 187
86% Pass Accuracy 73%
15 Box Touches 13
27 Crosses 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Cienciano vs Cusco FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cusco FC edged past Cienciano 2-1 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 30% / 36% — and on the day Cusco FC made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Cienciano had 64% of the ball to Cusco FC's 36%, shots finished 12-7, expected goals 0.81 to 1.40.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cienciano had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Cienciano and 1.17 for Cusco FC.

What was the final score of Cienciano vs Cusco FC?

Cienciano 1-2 Cusco FC in the Peru - Premier League on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cienciano vs Cusco FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Cusco FC win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Cienciano 34%, draw 30%, Cusco FC 36%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cusco FC) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Cusco FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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