Cultural San 1-0 Deportivo Garcilaso — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 29 Sep 2024

📅29/09/2024 · 🕒21:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.05
Draw
23%
3.18
Away
30%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.82
Over 2.5
44%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
1.73
No
60%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
16%
X/2
7%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
18%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
45%
+1.7pp
23%
Draw
28%
-4.6pp
30%
Away Win
27%
+2.9pp
56%
Under 2.5
51%
+4.8pp
44%
Over 2.5
49%
-4.8pp
40%
BTTS Yes
54%
-13.8pp
60%
BTTS No
46%
+13.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cultural San EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo Garcilaso EU Bookmakers 31%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -2%
1.36/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/1.48
+72% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +17%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
335 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 254 · 72%
24.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.8
29.3 Crosses 14.6
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cultural San
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Deportivo Garcilaso
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.41 xG 1.63
40% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 19
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 6
154 Passes 258
70% Pass Accuracy 81%
8 Box Touches 19
11 Crosses 30
7 Yellow Cards 4
29.04.2024 Deportivo Garcilaso Deportivo Garcilaso 1-1 HT 0-1 Cultural San Cultural San PER
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cultural San
1-0
AWAY Deportivo Garcilaso
1.26 xG 1.44
62% Ball Possession 38%
16 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 9
349 Passes 186
81% Pass Accuracy 74%
27 Box Touches 37
13 Crosses 24
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Cultural San vs Deportivo Garcilaso
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cultural San edged past Deportivo Garcilaso 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Cultural San as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (60%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Cultural San had 62% of the ball to Deportivo Garcilaso's 38%, shots finished 16-16, expected goals 1.26 to 1.44.

What was the final score of Cultural San vs Deportivo Garcilaso?

Cultural San 1-0 Deportivo Garcilaso in the Peru - Premier League on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cultural San vs Deportivo Garcilaso?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cultural San win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Cultural San 46%, draw 23%, Deportivo Garcilaso 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cultural San), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Cultural San) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
PER More Peru - Premier League
29 Sep 2024
01:30 Cienciano vs Cusco FC Analysis →
04:30 Alianza Lima vs Melgar Analysis →
19:00 Sporting Cristal vs Cesar Vallejo Analysis →
23:00 Carlos Manucci Trujillo vs Sport Huancayo Analysis →
23:30 Comerciantes Unidos vs Universitario Analysis →