Comerciantes Unidos 0-2 Universitario — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 29 Sep 2024

📅29/09/2024 · 🕒23:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
5.34
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
51%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.82
Over 2.5
44%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.03
No
60%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
8%
X/2
18%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
26%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
16%
+9.1pp
24%
Draw
23%
+1.3pp
51%
Away Win
61%
-10.4pp
56%
Under 2.5
51%
+5.1pp
44%
Over 2.5
49%
-5.1pp
40%
BTTS Yes
45%
-5.6pp
60%
BTTS No
55%
+5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Comerciantes Unidos EU Bookmakers 19%
Head to Head
AWAY Universitario EU Bookmakers 66%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
0.36/1.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.69/0.69
-58% / +31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / -5%
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
236 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 405 · 82%
7.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.0
13.7 Crosses 18.5
3.0 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Comerciantes Unidos
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Universitario
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
0.96 xG 2.17
46% Ball Possession 54%
14 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
244 Passes 302
76% Pass Accuracy 79%
16 Box Touches 24
19 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
29.04.2024 Universitario Universitario 6-0 HT 4-0 Comerciantes Unidos Comerciantes Unidos PER
25.11.2018 Universitario Universitario 2-0 HT 0-0 Comerciantes Unidos Comerciantes Unidos PER
26.08.2018 Comerciantes Unidos Comerciantes Unidos 3-4 HT 3-4 Universitario Universitario PER
16.04.2018 Universitario Universitario 1-0 HT 0-0 Comerciantes Unidos Comerciantes Unidos PER
28.02.2018 Comerciantes Unidos Comerciantes Unidos 0-2 HT 0-1 Universitario Universitario PER
05.11.2017 Comerciantes Unidos Comerciantes Unidos 1-1 HT 1-0 Universitario Universitario PER
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Comerciantes Unidos
0-2
AWAY Universitario
0.29 xG 0.73
51% Ball Possession 49%
6 Total Shots 16
0 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 8
295 Passes 264
80% Pass Accuracy 74%
8 Box Touches 22
20 Crosses 24
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Comerciantes Unidos vs Universitario
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Universitario saw off Comerciantes Unidos 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Universitario as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (60%) came in.

On the day, Comerciantes Unidos had 51% of the ball to Universitario's 49%, shots finished 6-16, expected goals 0.29 to 0.73.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Universitario led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Comerciantes Unidos and 2.67 for Universitario.

What was the final score of Comerciantes Unidos vs Universitario?

Comerciantes Unidos 0-2 Universitario in the Peru - Premier League on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Comerciantes Unidos vs Universitario?

Before kick-off our model rated an Universitario win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Comerciantes Unidos 25%, draw 24%, Universitario 51%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Universitario), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Universitario) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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