Comerciantes Unidos vs Sporting Cristal Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Comerciantes Unidos v Sporting Cristal — Team-Based Signals
Comerciantes Unidos vs Sporting Cristal Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-2
HT 0-2
Comerciantes Unidos
PER
1-1
HT 1-1
Sporting Cristal
PER
1-3
HT 1-1
Sporting Cristal
PER
Comerciantes Unidos 1-4 Sporting Cristal — Actual Match Statistics
Sporting Cristal ran out comfortable winners over Comerciantes Unidos 4-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Sporting Cristal as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (59%) came in.
On the day, Comerciantes Unidos had 35% of the ball to Sporting Cristal's 65%, shots finished 11-20, expected goals 1.37 to 2.48.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sporting Cristal led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Comerciantes Unidos and 1.67 for Sporting Cristal.
What was the final score of Comerciantes Unidos vs Sporting Cristal?
Comerciantes Unidos 1-4 Sporting Cristal in the Peru - Premier League on 01/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Comerciantes Unidos vs Sporting Cristal?
Before kick-off our model rated an Sporting Cristal win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Comerciantes Unidos 22%, draw 30%, Sporting Cristal 48%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sporting Cristal), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.