Marino De Luanco 1-0 Coruxo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 1 Dec 2024

📅01/12/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.33
Draw
28%
2.94
Away
32%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
64%
1.48
Over
36%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.13
No
61%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1
37%
2-3
39%
4-5
16%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 64%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
39%
+0.3pp
28%
Draw
31%
-2.6pp
32%
Away Win
30%
+2.3pp
64%
Under 2.5
64%
+0.6pp
36%
Over 2.5
36%
-0.6pp
39%
BTTS Yes
43%
-3.4pp
61%
BTTS No
57%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Marino De Luanco EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Coruxo EU Bookmakers 33%
-4% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +16%
0.90/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/0.84
-26% / +34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +32%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
332 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Marino De Luanco
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Coruxo
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
17.03.2024 Marino De Luanco Marino De Luanco 0-1 HT 0-1 Coruxo Coruxo İS4
05.11.2023 Coruxo Coruxo 2-1 HT 0-1 Marino De Luanco Marino De Luanco İS4
05.03.2023 Marino De Luanco Marino De Luanco 1-0 HT 1-0 Coruxo Coruxo İS4
15.10.2022 Coruxo Coruxo 2-2 HT 1-1 Marino De Luanco Marino De Luanco İS4
01.05.2022 Coruxo Coruxo 2-0 HT 1-0 Marino De Luanco Marino De Luanco İS4
12.12.2021 Marino De Luanco Marino De Luanco 0-0 HT 0-0 Coruxo Coruxo İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Marino De Luanco
1-0
AWAY Coruxo
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Marino De Luanco vs Coruxo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Marino De Luanco edged past Coruxo 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (40% / 28% / 32%) promised a tight game; Marino De Luanco found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (61%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Marino De Luanco had 50% of the ball to Coruxo's 50%, shots finished 13-12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Coruxo led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Marino De Luanco and 1.17 for Coruxo.

What was the final score of Marino De Luanco vs Coruxo?

Marino De Luanco 1-0 Coruxo in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 01/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Marino De Luanco vs Coruxo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Marino De Luanco win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Marino De Luanco 40%, draw 28%, Coruxo 32%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Marino De Luanco), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Marino De Luanco) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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